Well, I am finally writing a blog.... Actually, is mostly just a memory bank for the stuff that every so often I think about. Mostly boring stuff, for most people, but sort of cool for me. My intent is to write about politics, mind, history and computers.... Yeah.... I know... boring boring boring.... but what the Heck.
Today I was thinking on using the "100 items" technique on the current economic scenarios. So basically write at least 100 possible outcomes in the near future of this economical mess... The fun thing about it, is that I am soooooo sure that the real outcome wouldn't fall in any of the 100.
This morning when I was buying my egg McMuffin in MacDonalds, I realized that we are all just figuring out what happened and what is to happening. Nobody really knows the whole story!!! Just couple days ago I read about the unbalance in the world trade and economy, as the cause of the current economic problems. (Yesterday )I read that argument just pushed a little bit farther, with the idea that the unbalance of distribution of wealth in Asia had a lot to do with it. So in just a matter of few months we have gone from bad mortgages loans to trade unbalances.....
I don't know.... I am still wondering if there is a much deeper structural reason to all this troubles. Spengler in the Asia Times puts forward the idea that many of this troubles are based on demographics, and further more, that they are based on cultural wars. In a way, a little bit like Memes, where cultures die and live according to systems of believed.
I really give him a point, but I think things are better than that.... I think so far we have been very civilized much more than in any other time in history... I just hope that the economies don't crush so bad that bad things happens. When the rulers of countries find themselves having war as the only option to stay in power...
Weird... Hitler himself used that rationalisation.
Saturday, January 31, 2009
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